Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Warning: We're Running Out of Water - The Scarcity of Life's Essence

"Water, water, every where,
And all the boards did shrink;
Water, water, every where,
Nor any drop to drink."
(taken from The Rime of the Ancient Mariner by Samuel Taylor Coleridge, 1817 Edition)

The mariner and his crew from Samuel Taylor Coleridge's famous poem understood the pain of water scarcity despite its apparent abundance. Their predicament is not much different from the predicament many people are currently facing. Although water covers 71% of the Earth's surface, less than 1% of the world's fresh water (or about 0.007% of all the water on earth) is readily accessible for direct human use (World Health Organization Fact Sheet, also see picture to the right). About one sixth of the world's population (1.1 billion people) TODAY has inadequate access to safe drinking water and it is estimated that by 2050, two-thirds of the world's population could be living in areas with chronic, widespread water shortages.

In the United States, we take water for granted. Everyone has access to affordable drinking water. Water is naturally recycled through evaporation and precipitation (hydrological cycle) and thus thought to be a renewable resource but with pollution and other factors, the recycling process is not fully efficient. Since the total supply of the Earth's freshwater is unchanged, this inefficiency will eventually lead to less potable water supplies.

In addition to drinking, there are many other human uses for water (Wikipedia):
  • Agriculture - Irrigation for farmlands
  • Hygiene and Sanitation/Sewage Treatment - Water facilitates chemical processing of wastewater
  • Dissolving Agent - Used for washing almost everything.
  • Extinguishing Fires - Most fires are extinguished using water
  • Chemical Uses - Water is used for many chemical processes
  • Recreation and Sports - Swimming, water skiing, ice hockey, snowboarding, etc
  • Food Processing - Water is used to prepare many foods (boiling, steaming, simmering)
  • Power Generation - Hydroelectric power. Water is also used as the coolant for both electric generators and nuclear power plants
As I write this article, crude oil is at all time highs ($118/barrel as of 04/23/2008) and food prices all over the world are rising (Corn Oil for the 21st Century). As the price of food rises, increased farmland and irrigation will cause further stresses on the world's freshwater supply. Many rivers (Colorado River in the US, Amu Darya River in Central Asia and the Yellow River in China) are already running dry causing villagers dependent on their waters to leave their villages and become "water refugees". Population growth across the world will also increase the need for drinking water and water needed for all the aforementioned human uses. In addition to population growth, the increasing affluence of the middle class in Asia (India, Southeast Asia and China) will lead to increase consumption of water due to a shift in diet from grain to meat (It takes one thousand times more water to raise a cow than to raise its equivalent in grain) and the movement towards better hygiene will result in more toilet flushes and other water consuming sanitation methods. Another big factor that may lead to an impending water crisis is the antiquated water infrastructure around the world. Deteriorating pipes and water treatment facilities lead to water wasting which will decrease the already scant supply of freshwater.

If we don't start conserving and searching for alternate ways to recycle our water supply, the price of water will go down the road of other limited natural resources such as oil and natural metals and we may soon be lamenting (in the prose of Coleridge):

Water, water, every where,
None for use, the price too high;
Water, water, really no where,
Did I cause this just standing by?

The rising costs for water are fairly apparent. Monetarily, it is obvious as prices on water bills continually rise but not so obvious is the damage being done to biodiversity. Since there is a limited amount of fresh water, as humans increase their use there is a natural depletion of water availability for vegetation and wildlife dependent on freshwater. Wetlands (bogs and marshes such as the Florida Everglades) and their resident lifeforms are already suffering from fresh water depletion and many water dependent species are joining the ever growing endangered species list - International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List of Threatened Species. This loss of biodiversity hurts the discovery of future medicines and foods. When interdependent ecosystems become disturbed, bad things happen.

Another expense of water scarcity is WAR. We have already seen it with oil and if nothing changes, we will definitely see it over water. Rivers and other bodies of freshwater supplies do not follow national borders and one country's use of its water directly impacts the supply to other countries using the same freshwater source. As a matter of fact, there have already been several conflicts over water (Egypt vs. Ethiopia, India vs. Pakistan, Turkey vs. Syria vs. Iraq and Israel vs. Jordan). When it comes down to securing and/or protecting water resources for its citizens, the most peaceful country is more than willing to go to war. Even if conventional war is not waged, water shortages will lead to mass migrations, rampant disease propagation and food shortages.

Unlike scarcity of other natural resources, scarcity of water is a matter of life and death. A person can live weeks without food but only days without water (How Long Can You Survive Without Water?). So whether you care about the environment and its species, world peace, the money in your wallet or your own survival, it is necessary to conserve water and to be proactive in protecting our freshwater supply.

Here are some ways to prevent the looming water disaster:

1) Get Educated - There are numerous free resources, such as Water Partners International, concerning water conservation and the water crisis all over the internet. In order to live a water conserving lifestyle, one has to learn how and why it is necessary to save water.

2) Use Less Water - According to the Sphere Project Handbook "Humanitarian Charter and Minimum Standards in Disaster Response.", the average person needs 4 to 5 gallons of water per day to survive. The average American uses about 150 gallons of water at home each day. There is definitely room to cut back. Click here for some water saving tips.

3) Spread the Word - Tell EVERYONE that you know about the water crisis and ways to conserve. Standing idly by as others remain ignorant about the water problem is as bad as wasting water yourself.

4) Voting - Vote for political candidates who are sensitive to and understand the water issue. This will help lead to legislation for water conservation and economic incentives for water technology.

Every little thing helps. Many people doing little things will eventually have a huge impact. That is why it is important to get educated, use less water and spread the word about the water crisis.

The current situation in natural resources is described perfectly by Mahatma Ghandi:
"The earth provides enough to satisfy every man's needs, but not every man's greed."

Additional Seemingly Useless Commentary:

Gulf states such as Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates and Kuwait are experiencing economic boons because of record high oil prices. Interestingly, the gulf states are also located in one of the most freshwater deficient areas in the world where they have to resort to desalination, the expensive conversion of sea water to freshwater. In the future, if water prices begin to rise, demand for other not-as-essential goods such as oil will decrease. This may lead to a reversal of fortunes for these Middle Eastern states as their incomes begin to decrease but their cost of surviving begin to increase. If nothing changes, it is possible that the Middle East will become uninhabitable. On the flip side of the coin, if the gulf states invest their "oil money" for water research and infrastructure, perhaps we will see a "Blue Revolution" on par with the 20th century agricultural Green Revolution.

For investors and traders, it is perhaps possible to hedge this impending water crisis by investing in companies related to water. Whether it is water utilities (NYSE: WTR - Aqua America Inc.), water desalination (NASDAQ: CWCO - Consolidated Water Co.), water equipment for treatment and storage (NYSE: PNR - Pentair), water infrastructure (NYSE: AMN - Ameron International Corporation, water purification (NYSE: CCC - Calgon Carbon Corp), water irrigation (NYSE: LNN - Lindsay Corporation) or simply the water exchange traded fund (NYSE: PHO - Water ETF), in a situation when water becomes scarce, these companies will stand to benefit (Just look at the oil services sector in the past few years (NYSE: OIH).

Disclaimer:
I don't currently own any of these stocks but I am looking to invest in water for the future. As with any stock recommendations, there is no guarantee of success and it is possible that you can lose all your money.

This may perhaps be the most important issue for the 21st Century and should not be taken lightly. I will try to touch upon water-related disease and health issues in a future article. Please feel free to leave comments especially those relating to water and practical ways for conserving water. If you want to send anyone this specific article, copy and paste this link to do so: http://seeminglyuseless.blogspot.com/search/label/Water%20Crisis

Recommended Readings: Blue Covenant: The Global Water Crisis and the Coming Battle for the Right to Water by Maude Barlow, The Rime of the Ancient Mariner by Samuel Taylor Coleridge and When the Rivers Run Dry: Water - The Defining Crisis of the Twenty-first Century by Fred Pearce

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Once again, you have touched upon a very real topic that not alot of people are aware of. Well done.

I like how you added in some stock ideas. Here is another - Veolia Water - which is one of Europe's largest water management company.

AK

Anonymous said...

I like the article. While you mention the overall problems many countries face, should you mention that even if we do conserve water here in the US, how can we, at the present time, help the countries that are in dire need of water. Should we be shipping large quantities of bottled water to them? Thats an impossibility. Help them improve irrigation systems? Very costly.

Another big problem destroying the water supply is over-production. I saw in the NY Times pictures of a river in China, turned entirely fluorescent green from the pollutants released from a nearby factory. And the people were still fishing, washing their clothes, and drinking from it. This is a real problem with very few answers.

Seemingly Useless said...

My push for conservation of water in the US is mainly to preempt the now inevitable water crisis. If we continue to waste water and pollute our already scarce freshwater, we will eventually suffer the dilemma many water scarce regions (Middle East and North Africa) now face. Also if we don't take care of our water supply, we are vulnerable to unforeseen circumstances such as droughts or other natural disasters that may threaten our water supply. In the US, areas experiencing a drought or heat wave usually have water restrictions for its residents so the problem is hitting very close to home.

I think the cheap cost of water is creating an illusion of abundance and it is necessary to constantly try to educate others about the situation.